Setting the Record Straight
Statistical analysis in the name of human rights
Nick Rose Utne.com
February 16, 2006
The last ten years have seen an explosion of information
resources available to anyone committed to fighting human rights
violations. Spearheading this information revolution are
organizations like the Human Rights
Data Analysis Group (HRDAG), the
International Relations and
Security Network (ISN), and the
Stockholm International Peace
Research Institute (SIPRI). SIPRI and the
ISN
have paired up in an attempt to prevent genocide before it happens
by starting Facts on
International Relations and Security Trends (FIRST), an open,
searchable database available to anyone with an internet
connection. Its goal is to disseminate information about imminent
and current conflicts as fast as possible to mobilize intervention
when it is needed. The database contains country profiles with
information on recent armed conflicts, arms production, and
indicators such as health and development statistics.
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Looking at genocide after the fact, the HRDAG is using
information technology and statistical analysis to retroactively
establish the scope of genocide and other crimes against humanity.
Ann
Harrison reports for Wired News that HRDAG has
prepared reports for many countries, including Haiti, Guatemala,
South Africa, Kosovo, and, most recently, East Timor. Its director,
Dr.
Patrick Ball, gave seminal testimony at the trial of Slobodan
Milosevic, correlating the interpolated spikes in civilian deaths
to actions by the former Yugoslav president's forces. Harrison
reports that the HRDAG's open-source software programs work by
taking in first-hand accounts of individual atrocities -- the who,
what, where, and when -- and then projecting those trends over the
population. The reports prepared by the HRDAG (licensed under a
sharing-friendly Creative
Commons license) have been used in truth and reconciliation
proceedings around the world.